The model estimates 1.63 goals for Crystal Palace and 2.42 for Chelsea. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Crystal Palace and 6 for Chelsea, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Chelsea · 48%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Crystal Palace is going head to head with Chelsea on January 06, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Premier League — Round 20.
Crystal Palace take on Chelsea in the Premier League on 6 January 2027 at 00:00.
Crystal Palace are currently placed 17th in the table with 7 points, while Chelsea occupy 5th position with 13 points.
Crystal Palace come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Chelsea have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 49 recorded meetings, Chelsea have 31 wins against Crystal Palace, with 12 draws.
Prediction: Chelsea to win with probability 48%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 4.06. Over 2.5: 77%. BTTS: 74%.




Crystal Palace have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Crystal Palace concede an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Crystal Palace's last 6 home matches.
In their last 6 matches, Chelsea have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Chelsea have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Chelsea score an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.