European FootballTop competitionsNext match00d : 00h : 00m : 00sEuropean FootballTop competitionsNext match00d : 00h : 00m : 00sThe model estimates 1.22 goals for Covilha and 1.34 for Mafra. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Covilha and 6 for Mafra, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Mafra · 43%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Covilha is going head to head with Mafra on December 20, 2026 at 18:00. This match is part of Liga 3 — Round 13.
Covilha take on Mafra in the Liga 3 on 20 December 2026 at 18:00.
Covilha are currently placed 17th in the table with 7 points, while Mafra occupy 9th position with 9 points.
Covilha come into this match with 0 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Mafra have 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Mafra have 1 win against Covilha.
Prediction: Mafra to win with probability 37%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.56. Over 2.5: 47%. BTTS: 54%.
COVMAFCOVMAFCOVMAFCOVMAFCOVMAFCOVMAFCOVMAFCOVMAFCOVMAFCovilha have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Covilha have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Covilha's last 6 matches.
Mafra have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Mafra's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Mafra have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
