The model estimates 1.11 goals for Oliveirense and 0.96 for Covilha. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Oliveirense and 6 for Covilha, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Oliveirense · 39%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Oliveirense is going head to head with Covilha on January 10, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Liga 3 — Round 15.
Oliveirense take on Covilha in the Liga 3 on 10 January 2027 at 00:00.
Oliveirense are currently placed 7th in the table with 10 points, while Covilha occupy 17th position with 7 points.
Oliveirense come into this match with 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Covilha have 0 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Oliveirense have yet to beat Covilha, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Oliveirense and Covilha to draw with probability 33%. Most likely scoreline: 1-1. Avg goals: 2.08. Over 2.5: 34%. BTTS: 43%.




In their last 6 matches, Oliveirense have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Oliveirense's last 6 matches.
Oliveirense have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Covilha have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Covilha have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Covilha's last 6 matches.