The model estimates 1.28 goals for Covilha and 0.91 for Caldas. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Covilha and 6 for Caldas, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Covilha · 41%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Covilha is going head to head with Caldas on November 01, 2026 at 18:00. This match is part of Liga 3 — Round 8.
Covilha take on Caldas in the Liga 3 on 1 November 2026 at 18:00.
Covilha are currently placed 17th in the table with 7 points, while Caldas occupy 15th position with 8 points.
Covilha come into this match with 0 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Caldas have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Covilha to win with probability 41%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.18. Over 2.5: 37%. BTTS: 45%.
COVCALCOVCALCOVCALCOVCALCOVCALCOVCALCOVCALCOVCALCOVCALCovilha have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Covilha have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Covilha's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Caldas have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Caldas have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Caldas have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
