The model estimates 0.99 goals for Santarem and 0.94 for Covilha. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Santarem and 6 for Covilha, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Santarem · 34%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Santarem is going head to head with Covilha on November 28, 2026 at 18:00. This match is part of Liga 3 — Round 10.
Santarem take on Covilha in the Liga 3 on 28 November 2026 at 18:00.
Santarem are currently placed 8th in the table with 10 points, while Covilha occupy 17th position with 7 points.
Santarem come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Covilha have 0 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Covilha have 1 win against Santarem.
Prediction: Santarem and Covilha to draw with probability 34%. Most likely scoreline: 0-0. Avg goals: 1.93. Over 2.5: 30%. BTTS: 40%.




In their last 6 matches, Santarem have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Santarem's last 6 matches.
Santarem concede an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Covilha have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Covilha have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Covilha's last 6 matches.