The model estimates 1.08 goals for Louletano and 1.00 for Covilha. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Louletano and 6 for Covilha, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Louletano · 42%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Louletano is going head to head with Covilha on November 08, 2026 at 18:00. This match is part of Liga 3 — Round 9.
Louletano take on Covilha in the Liga 3 on 8 November 2026 at 18:00.
Louletano are currently placed 14th in the table with 8 points, while Covilha occupy 17th position with 7 points.
Louletano come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Covilha have 0 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Louletano and Covilha to draw with probability 33%. Most likely scoreline: 1-1. Avg goals: 2.08. Over 2.5: 35%. BTTS: 44%.




Louletano have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Louletano's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Louletano's last 6 matches.
Covilha have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Covilha have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Covilha's last 6 matches.