The model estimates 1.31 goals for Lusitano GC and 1.25 for Caldas. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Lusitano GC and 6 for Caldas, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Lusitano GC · 36%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Lusitano GC is going head to head with Caldas on December 06, 2026 at 18:00. This match is part of Liga 3 — Round 11.
Lusitano GC take on Caldas in the Liga 3 on 6 December 2026 at 18:00.
Lusitano GC are currently placed 18th in the table with 6 points, while Caldas occupy 15th position with 8 points.
Lusitano GC come into this match with 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Caldas have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 13 recorded meetings, Lusitano GC have 5 wins against Caldas, with 3 draws.
Prediction: Lusitano GC to win with probability 36%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.56. Over 2.5: 47%. BTTS: 54%.
LUSCALLUSCALLUSCALLUSCALLUSCALLUSCALLUSCALLUSCALLUSCALLusitano GC have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Lusitano GC have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Lusitano GC's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Caldas have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Caldas have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Caldas have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
