The model estimates 1.33 goals for Covilha and 0.76 for Vitória Sernache. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Covilha and 6 for Vitória Sernache, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Covilha · 45%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Covilha is going head to head with Vitória Sernache on December 06, 2026 at 18:00. This match is part of Liga 3 — Round 11.
Covilha take on Vitória Sernache in the Liga 3 on 6 December 2026 at 18:00.
Covilha are currently placed 17th in the table with 7 points, while Vitória Sernache occupy 20th position with 4 points.
Covilha come into this match with 0 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Vitória Sernache have 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Covilha have yet to beat Vitória Sernache, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Covilha to win with probability 45%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.09. Over 2.5: 35%. BTTS: 41%.




Covilha have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Covilha have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Covilha's last 6 matches.
Vitória Sernache have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Vitória Sernache have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
Vitória Sernache concede an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.