The model estimates 2.36 goals for Castuera and 0.68 for Jerez CF. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Castuera and 6 for Jerez CF, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Castuera · 66%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Castuera is going head to head with Jerez CF on January 31, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 14 — Round 20.
Castuera take on Jerez CF in the Spain Tercera Division Group 14 on 31 January 2027 at 00:00.
Castuera are currently placed 3rd in the table with 19 points, while Jerez CF occupy 14th position with 11 points.
Castuera come into this match with 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Jerez CF have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 13 recorded meetings, Jerez CF have 8 wins against Castuera, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Castuera to win with probability 68%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 3.04. Over 2.5: 58%. BTTS: 46%.
CASJERCASJERCASJERCASJERCASJERCASJERCASJERCASJERCASJERIn their last 6 matches, Castuera have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Castuera have kept 5 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
Castuera have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
Jerez CF have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Jerez CF's last 6 matches.
Jerez CF have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
