The model estimates 1.86 goals for Castro Daire and 0.82 for Sousense. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Castro Daire and 6 for Sousense, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Castro Daire · 55%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Castro Daire is going head to head with Sousense on January 24, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 15.
Castro Daire take on Sousense in the Campeonato de Portugal on 24 January 2027 at 00:00.
Castro Daire are currently placed 17th in the table with 9 points, while Sousense occupy 51st position with 2 points.
Castro Daire come into this match with 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Sousense have 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Castro Daire have 1 win against Sousense.
Prediction: Castro Daire to win with probability 55%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 2.69. Over 2.5: 50%. BTTS: 49%.




In their last 6 matches, Castro Daire have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Castro Daire have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Castro Daire's last 6 matches.
Sousense have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Sousense have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Sousense's last 6 matches.