The model estimates 0.83 goals for Sousense and 1.92 for Ovarense. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Sousense and 6 for Ovarense, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Ovarense · 47%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Sousense is going head to head with Ovarense on January 30, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 16.
Sousense take on Ovarense in the Campeonato de Portugal on 30 January 2027 at 00:00.
Sousense are currently placed 51st in the table with 2 points, while Ovarense occupy 1st position with 16 points.
Sousense come into this match with 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Ovarense have 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Ovarense have 1 win against Sousense.
Prediction: Ovarense to win with probability 54%. Most likely scoreline: 0-2. Avg goals: 2.74. Over 2.5: 52%. BTTS: 49%.




Sousense have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Sousense have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Sousense's last 6 matches.
Ovarense are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Ovarense have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Ovarense have won 5 of their last 6 matches.