The model estimates 1.95 goals for Estrela Calheta and 1.37 for Sousense. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Estrela Calheta and 6 for Sousense, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Estrela Calheta · 47%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Estrela Calheta is going head to head with Sousense on February 14, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 18.
Estrela Calheta take on Sousense in the Campeonato de Portugal on 14 February 2027 at 00:00.
Estrela Calheta are currently placed 45th in the table with 5 points, while Sousense occupy 51st position with 2 points.
Estrela Calheta come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Sousense have 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Estrela Calheta have 1 win against Sousense.
Prediction: Estrela Calheta to win with probability 47%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.32. Over 2.5: 64%. BTTS: 65%.
ESTSOUESTSOUESTSOUESTSOUESTSOUESTSOUESTSOUESTSOUESTSOUEstrela Calheta have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Estrela Calheta's last 6 matches.
Estrela Calheta concede an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Sousense have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Sousense have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Sousense's last 6 matches.
