The model estimates 1.38 goals for Machico and 0.65 for Castro Daire. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Machico and 6 for Castro Daire, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Machico · 44%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Machico is going head to head with Castro Daire on April 04, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 24.
Machico take on Castro Daire in the Campeonato de Portugal on 4 April 2027 at 00:00.
Machico are currently placed 4th in the table with 13 points, while Castro Daire occupy 17th position with 9 points.
Machico come into this match with 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Castro Daire have 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 2 recorded meetings, Machico have 1 win against Castro Daire, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Machico to win with probability 50%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.03. Over 2.5: 33%. BTTS: 37%.
MACCASMACCASMACCASMACCASMACCASMACCASMACCASMACCASMACCASMachico are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Machico have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Machico have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Castro Daire have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Castro Daire have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Castro Daire's last 6 matches.
