The model estimates 1.90 goals for Florgrade and 1.12 for Estrela Calheta. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Florgrade and 6 for Estrela Calheta, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Florgrade · 50%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Florgrade is going head to head with Estrela Calheta on December 06, 2026 at 18:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 10.
Florgrade take on Estrela Calheta in the Campeonato de Portugal on 6 December 2026 at 18:00.
Florgrade are currently placed 15th in the table with 10 points, while Estrela Calheta occupy 45th position with 5 points.
Florgrade come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Estrela Calheta have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Florgrade to win with probability 50%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.02. Over 2.5: 58%. BTTS: 59%.




There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Florgrade's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Florgrade have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Florgrade have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
Estrela Calheta have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Estrela Calheta's last 6 matches.
Estrela Calheta concede an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.