The model estimates 1.23 goals for Sanjoanense and 1.14 for Castro Daire. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Sanjoanense and 6 for Castro Daire, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Sanjoanense · 37%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Sanjoanense is going head to head with Castro Daire on December 06, 2026 at 18:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 10.
Sanjoanense take on Castro Daire in the Campeonato de Portugal on 6 December 2026 at 18:00.
Sanjoanense are currently placed 24th in the table with 8 points, while Castro Daire occupy 17th position with 9 points.
Sanjoanense come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Castro Daire have 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 3 recorded meetings, Castro Daire have 1 win against Sanjoanense, with 2 draws.
Prediction: Sanjoanense to win with probability 37%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.37. Over 2.5: 42%. BTTS: 50%.




In their last 6 matches, Sanjoanense have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Sanjoanense have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Sanjoanense's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Castro Daire have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Castro Daire have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Castro Daire's last 6 matches.