The model estimates 1.21 goals for Sousense and 1.45 for Florgrade. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Sousense and 6 for Florgrade, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Florgrade · 39%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Sousense is going head to head with Florgrade on November 28, 2026 at 18:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 9.
Sousense take on Florgrade in the Campeonato de Portugal on 28 November 2026 at 18:00.
Sousense are currently placed 51st in the table with 2 points, while Florgrade occupy 15th position with 10 points.
Sousense come into this match with 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Florgrade have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Florgrade to win with probability 39%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 2.66. Over 2.5: 50%. BTTS: 55%.




Sousense have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Sousense have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Sousense's last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Florgrade's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Florgrade have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Florgrade have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.