The model estimates 0.76 goals for Troyes and 1.53 for Monaco. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Troyes and 6 for Monaco, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Monaco · 51%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Troyes is going head to head with Monaco on January 23, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Ligue 1 — Round 17.
Troyes take on Monaco in the Ligue 1 on 23 January 2027 at 00:00.
Troyes are currently placed 17th in the table with 6 points, while Monaco occupy 4th position with 15 points.
Troyes come into this match with 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Monaco have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 37 recorded meetings, Monaco have 18 wins against Troyes, with 10 draws.
Prediction: Monaco to win with probability 48%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.29. Over 2.5: 40%. BTTS: 43%.




Troyes have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Troyes's last 6 matches.
Troyes have failed to score in 5 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Monaco have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Monaco's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Monaco's last 6 matches.