The model estimates 2.13 goals for Lens and 1.26 for Brest. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Lens and 6 for Brest, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Lens · 49%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Lens is going head to head with Brest on January 23, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Ligue 1 — Round 17.
Lens take on Brest in the Ligue 1 on 23 January 2027 at 00:00.
Lens are currently placed 9th in the table with 11 points, while Brest occupy 13th position with 9 points.
Lens come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Brest have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 44 recorded meetings, Lens have 20 wins against Brest, with 7 draws.
Prediction: Lens to win with probability 53%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.39. Over 2.5: 66%. BTTS: 64%.
LENBRELENBRELENBRELENBRELENBRELENBRELENBRELENBRELENBRELens have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Lens's last 6 matches.
Lens concede an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Brest have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Brest's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Brest's last 6 matches.
