The model estimates 2.59 goals for Benfica and 0.55 for Casa Pia AC. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Benfica and 6 for Casa Pia AC, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Benfica · 73%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Benfica is going head to head with Casa Pia AC on January 24, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Primeira Liga — Round 19.
Benfica take on Casa Pia AC in the Primeira Liga on 24 January 2027 at 00:00.
Benfica are currently placed 2nd in the table with 28 points, while Casa Pia AC occupy 16th position with 8 points.
Benfica come into this match with 6 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Casa Pia AC have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Benfica have 1 win against Casa Pia AC.
Prediction: Benfica to win with probability 70%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 3.14. Over 2.5: 61%. BTTS: 40%.




Benfica are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Benfica have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Benfica have won 6 of their last 6 matches.
Casa Pia AC have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Casa Pia AC's last 6 matches.
Casa Pia AC concede an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.