The model estimates 1.53 goals for Alverca and 0.78 for Casa Pia AC. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Alverca and 6 for Casa Pia AC, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Alverca · 58%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Alverca is going head to head with Casa Pia AC on November 08, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Primeira Liga — Round 11.
Alverca take on Casa Pia AC in the Primeira Liga on 8 November 2026 at 19:00.
Alverca are currently placed 7th in the table with 11 points, while Casa Pia AC occupy 16th position with 7 points.
Alverca come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Casa Pia AC have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 2 recorded meetings, Alverca have 2 wins against Casa Pia AC.
Prediction: Alverca to win with probability 50%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.30. Over 2.5: 40%. BTTS: 44%.




In their last 6 matches, Alverca have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Alverca's last 6 matches.
Alverca score an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Casa Pia AC have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Casa Pia AC's last 6 matches.
Casa Pia AC concede an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 away matches.