The model estimates 2.78 goals for Benfica and 0.94 for Alverca. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Saved model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Benfica and 6 for Alverca, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Benfica · 66%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Benfica is going head to head with Alverca on November 01, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Primeira Liga — Round 10.
Benfica take on Alverca in the Primeira Liga on 1 November 2026 at 19:00.
Benfica are currently placed 2nd in the table with 22 points, while Alverca occupy 7th position with 11 points.
Benfica come into this match with 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Alverca have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Benfica to win with probability 66%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 3.72. Over 2.5: 72%. BTTS: 58%.




In their last 6 matches, Benfica have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Benfica have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Benfica's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Alverca have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Alverca's last 6 matches.
Alverca score an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.