The model estimates 1.35 goals for Bastia and 1.07 for Valenciennes. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Bastia and 6 for Valenciennes, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Bastia · 41%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Bastia is going head to head with Valenciennes on December 12, 2026 at 16:45. This match is part of France National — Round 15.
Bastia take on Valenciennes in the France National on 12 December 2026 at 16:45.
Bastia are currently placed 11th in the table with 15 points, while Valenciennes occupy 15th position with 9 points.
Bastia come into this match with 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Valenciennes have 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Bastia to win with probability 41%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.42. Over 2.5: 44%. BTTS: 50%.




There have been under 2.5 goals in 6 of Bastia's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Bastia have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Bastia have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Valenciennes have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Valenciennes's last 6 matches.
Valenciennes have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.