The model estimates 1.36 goals for Bastia and 0.72 for Aubagne. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Bastia and 6 for Aubagne, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Bastia · 48%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Bastia is going head to head with Aubagne on January 30, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of France National — Round 18.
Bastia take on Aubagne in the France National on 30 January 2027 at 00:00.
Bastia are currently placed 13th in the table with 12 points, while Aubagne occupy 18th position with 4 points.
Bastia come into this match with 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Aubagne have 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Bastia have 1 win against Aubagne.
Prediction: Bastia to win with probability 48%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.07. Over 2.5: 34%. BTTS: 40%.




Bastia have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Bastia's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Bastia have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Aubagne have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Aubagne have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
Aubagne concede an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.