The model estimates 1.01 goals for Babelsberg and 2.78 for Erfurt. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Babelsberg and 6 for Erfurt, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Erfurt · 64%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Babelsberg is going head to head with Erfurt on May 09, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Germany Regionalliga Nordost — Round 32.
Babelsberg take on Erfurt in the Germany Regionalliga Nordost on 9 May 2027 at 00:00.
Babelsberg are currently placed 12th in the table with 16 points, while Erfurt occupy 1st position with 37 points.
Babelsberg come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Erfurt have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 20 recorded meetings, Erfurt have 7 wins against Babelsberg, with 7 draws.
Prediction: Erfurt to win with probability 65%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.79. Over 2.5: 73%. BTTS: 60%.




Babelsberg have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Babelsberg concede an average of 2.17 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Babelsberg's last 6 home matches.
In their last 6 matches, Erfurt have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Erfurt's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Erfurt's last 6 matches.