The model estimates 1.60 goals for Auxerre and 1.73 for Toulouse. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Auxerre and 6 for Toulouse, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Toulouse · 37%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Auxerre is going head to head with Toulouse on December 12, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Ligue 1 — Round 14.
Auxerre take on Toulouse in the Ligue 1 on 12 December 2026 at 19:00.
Auxerre are currently placed 12th in the table with 10 points, while Toulouse occupy 11th position with 10 points.
Auxerre come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Toulouse have 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 62 recorded meetings, Auxerre have 26 wins against Toulouse, with 17 draws.
Prediction: Toulouse to win with probability 37%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.33. Over 2.5: 65%. BTTS: 67%.




Both teams have scored in 5 of Auxerre's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Auxerre have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Auxerre's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Toulouse have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Toulouse have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Toulouse's last 6 matches.