The model estimates 1.51 goals for Lorient and 0.91 for Auxerre. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Lorient and 6 for Auxerre, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Lorient · 50%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Lorient is going head to head with Auxerre on January 02, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Ligue 1 — Round 15.
Lorient take on Auxerre in the Ligue 1 on 2 January 2027 at 00:00.
Lorient are currently placed 8th in the table with 12 points, while Auxerre occupy 12th position with 10 points.
Lorient come into this match with 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Auxerre have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 26 recorded meetings, Auxerre have 11 wins against Lorient, with 11 draws.
Prediction: Lorient to win with probability 48%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.42. Over 2.5: 44%. BTTS: 48%.




In their last 6 matches, Lorient have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Lorient's last 6 matches.
Lorient have kept 4 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Auxerre's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Auxerre have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Auxerre's last 6 matches.