The model estimates 1.47 goals for Atalanta and 2.28 for AC Milan. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Atalanta and 6 for AC Milan, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: AC Milan · 51%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Atalanta is going head to head with AC Milan on March 21, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Serie A — Round 29.
Atalanta take on AC Milan in the Serie A on 21 March 2027 at 00:00.
Atalanta are currently placed 13th in the table with 11 points, while AC Milan occupy 5th position with 21 points.
Atalanta come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas AC Milan have 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, AC Milan have 1 win against Atalanta.
Prediction: AC Milan to win with probability 51%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.74. Over 2.5: 72%. BTTS: 70%.




Atalanta have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Atalanta's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Atalanta's last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of AC Milan's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, AC Milan have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
AC Milan have won 4 of their last 6 matches.