The model estimates 1.25 goals for Fiorentina and 1.93 for AC Milan. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Fiorentina and 6 for AC Milan, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: AC Milan · 54%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Fiorentina is going head to head with AC Milan on April 11, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Serie A — Round 31.
Fiorentina take on AC Milan in the Serie A on 11 April 2027 at 00:00.
Fiorentina are currently placed 19th in the table with 4 points, while AC Milan occupy 5th position with 18 points.
Fiorentina come into this match with 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas AC Milan have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: AC Milan to win with probability 48%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.17. Over 2.5: 61%. BTTS: 62%.




Both teams have scored in 6 of Fiorentina's last 6 matches.
Fiorentina have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Fiorentina's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, AC Milan have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of AC Milan's last 6 matches.
AC Milan score an average of 2.00 goals per game across their last 6 matches.