The model estimates 2.18 goals for Arsenal and 0.67 for Manchester Utd. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Arsenal and 6 for Manchester Utd, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Arsenal · 63%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Arsenal is going head to head with Manchester Utd on December 20, 2026 at 16:30. This match is part of Premier League — Round 16.
Arsenal take on Manchester Utd in the Premier League on 20 December 2026 at 16:30.
Arsenal are currently placed 2nd in the table with 21 points, while Manchester Utd occupy 16th position with 7 points.
Arsenal come into this match with 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Manchester Utd have 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 209 recorded meetings, Manchester Utd have 83 wins against Arsenal, with 51 draws.
Prediction: Arsenal to win with probability 63%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 2.84. Over 2.5: 54%. BTTS: 44%.
ARSMANARSMANARSMANARSMANARSMANARSMANARSMANARSMANARSMANIn their last 6 matches, Arsenal have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Arsenal have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Arsenal's last 6 matches.
Manchester Utd have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Manchester Utd's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Manchester Utd's last 6 matches.
