The model estimates 1.39 goals for Manchester Utd and 1.20 for Nottingham Forest. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Manchester Utd and 6 for Nottingham Forest, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Manchester Utd · 40%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Manchester Utd is going head to head with Nottingham Forest on December 27, 2026 at 16:30. This match is part of Premier League — Round 17.
Manchester Utd take on Nottingham Forest in the Premier League on 27 December 2026 at 16:30.
Manchester Utd are currently placed 16th in the table with 7 points, while Nottingham Forest occupy 18th position with 6 points.
Manchester Utd come into this match with 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Nottingham Forest have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 88 recorded meetings, Manchester Utd have 44 wins against Nottingham Forest, with 17 draws.
Prediction: Manchester Utd to win with probability 40%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.59. Over 2.5: 48%. BTTS: 54%.




Manchester Utd have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Manchester Utd's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Manchester Utd's last 6 matches.
Nottingham Forest have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Nottingham Forest's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Nottingham Forest's last 6 away matches.