European FootballTop competitionsNext match00d : 00h : 00m : 00sEuropean FootballTop competitionsNext match00d : 00h : 00m : 00sThe model estimates 1.48 goals for Arouca and 0.53 for Casa Pia AC. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Arouca and 6 for Casa Pia AC, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Arouca · 55%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Arouca is going head to head with Casa Pia AC on December 20, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Primeira Liga — Round 15.
Arouca take on Casa Pia AC in the Primeira Liga on 20 December 2026 at 19:00.
Arouca are currently placed 5th in the table with 17 points, while Casa Pia AC occupy 16th position with 7 points.
Arouca come into this match with 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Casa Pia AC have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Arouca to win with probability 55%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.01. Over 2.5: 33%. BTTS: 33%.
AROCASAROCASAROCASAROCASAROCASAROCASAROCASAROCASAROCASIn their last 6 matches, Arouca have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Arouca have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
Arouca score an average of 2.00 goals per game across their last 4 home matches.
Casa Pia AC have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Casa Pia AC's last 6 matches.
Casa Pia AC concede an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 away matches.
