The model estimates 1.10 goals for Casa Pia AC and 1.34 for Marítimo. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Casa Pia AC and 6 for Marítimo, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Marítimo · 46%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Casa Pia AC is going head to head with Marítimo on January 17, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Primeira Liga — Round 18.
Casa Pia AC take on Marítimo in the Primeira Liga on 17 January 2027 at 00:00.
Casa Pia AC are currently placed 16th in the table with 7 points, while Marítimo occupy 14th position with 8 points.
Casa Pia AC come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Marítimo have 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 4 recorded meetings, Casa Pia AC have 2 wins against Marítimo.
Prediction: Marítimo to win with probability 39%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.44. Over 2.5: 44%. BTTS: 51%.




Casa Pia AC have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Casa Pia AC's last 6 matches.
Casa Pia AC have lost 4 of their last 6 home matches.
Marítimo have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Marítimo have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Marítimo's last 6 matches.