European FootballTop competitionsNext match00d : 00h : 00m : 00sEuropean FootballTop competitionsNext match00d : 00h : 00m : 00sThe model estimates 0.99 goals for Arouca and 1.74 for Benfica. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Arouca and 6 for Benfica, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Benfica · 47%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Arouca is going head to head with Benfica on January 10, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Primeira Liga — Round 17.
Arouca take on Benfica in the Primeira Liga on 10 January 2027 at 00:00.
Arouca are currently placed 5th in the table with 17 points, while Benfica occupy 2nd position with 22 points.
Arouca come into this match with 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Benfica have 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Benfica to win with probability 48%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.73. Over 2.5: 51%. BTTS: 53%.
AROBENAROBENAROBENAROBENAROBENAROBENAROBENAROBENAROBENIn their last 6 matches, Arouca have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Arouca have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
Arouca score an average of 2.00 goals per game across their last 4 home matches.
In their last 6 matches, Benfica have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Benfica have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Benfica's last 6 matches.
