The model estimates 1.07 goals for Arouca and 0.86 for Vitoria Guimaraes. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Arouca and 6 for Vitoria Guimaraes, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Arouca · 47%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Arouca is going head to head with Vitoria Guimaraes on January 17, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Primeira Liga — Round 18.
Arouca take on Vitoria Guimaraes in the Primeira Liga on 17 January 2027 at 00:00.
Arouca are currently placed 5th in the table with 17 points, while Vitoria Guimaraes occupy 13th position with 8 points.
Arouca come into this match with 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Vitoria Guimaraes have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Arouca have 1 win against Vitoria Guimaraes.
Prediction: Arouca and Vitoria Guimaraes to draw with probability 33%. Most likely scoreline: 0-0. Avg goals: 1.94. Over 2.5: 31%. BTTS: 40%.
AROVITAROVITAROVITAROVITAROVITAROVITAROVITAROVITAROVITIn their last 6 matches, Arouca have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Arouca have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
Arouca score an average of 2.00 goals per game across their last 4 home matches.
Vitoria Guimaraes have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Vitoria Guimaraes's last 6 matches.
Vitoria Guimaraes have lost 5 of their last 6 away matches.
