The model estimates 2.20 goals for Arda and 0.78 for Septemvri Sofia. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Arda and 6 for Septemvri Sofia, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Arda · 58%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Arda is going head to head with Septemvri Sofia on November 07, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Parva Liga — Round 14.
Arda take on Septemvri Sofia in the Parva Liga on 7 November 2026 at 19:00.
Arda are currently placed 6th in the table with 18 points, while Septemvri Sofia occupy 14th position with 8 points.
Arda come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Septemvri Sofia have 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 8 recorded meetings, Arda have 6 wins against Septemvri Sofia, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Arda to win with probability 62%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 2.98. Over 2.5: 57%. BTTS: 49%.




Arda have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Arda's last 6 matches.
Arda concede an average of 2.33 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Septemvri Sofia have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Septemvri Sofia have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Septemvri Sofia's last 6 matches.