The model estimates 1.09 goals for Slavia Sofia and 1.00 for Arda. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Slavia Sofia and 6 for Arda, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Slavia Sofia · 37%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Slavia Sofia is going head to head with Arda on November 21, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Parva Liga — Round 15.
Slavia Sofia take on Arda in the Parva Liga on 21 November 2026 at 19:00.
Slavia Sofia are currently placed 8th in the table with 12 points, while Arda occupy 6th position with 17 points.
Slavia Sofia come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Arda have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 21 recorded meetings, Arda have 9 wins against Slavia Sofia, with 6 draws.
Prediction: Slavia Sofia and Arda to draw with probability 32%. Most likely scoreline: 1-1. Avg goals: 2.09. Over 2.5: 35%. BTTS: 44%.




Slavia Sofia have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Slavia Sofia's last 6 matches.
Slavia Sofia have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
Arda have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Arda concede an average of 2.17 goals per game across their last 6 matches.