The model estimates 2.82 goals for Alianza Lima and 0.75 for FC Cajamarca. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Alianza Lima and 6 for FC Cajamarca, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Alianza Lima · 71%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Alianza Lima is going head to head with FC Cajamarca on November 14, 2026 at 21:00. This match is part of Peruvian Primera División — Round 17.
Alianza Lima take on FC Cajamarca in the Peruvian Primera División on 14 November 2026 at 21:00.
Alianza Lima are currently placed 1st in the table with 85 points, while FC Cajamarca occupy 15th position with 37 points.
Alianza Lima come into this match with 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas FC Cajamarca have 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Alianza Lima have yet to beat FC Cajamarca, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Alianza Lima to win with probability 71%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 3.57. Over 2.5: 69%. BTTS: 50%.




In their last 6 matches, Alianza Lima have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Alianza Lima have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Alianza Lima's last 6 matches.
FC Cajamarca have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
FC Cajamarca have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
FC Cajamarca have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.