The model estimates 0.90 goals for Los Chankas and 1.69 for Alianza Lima. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Los Chankas and 6 for Alianza Lima, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Alianza Lima · 47%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Los Chankas is going head to head with Alianza Lima on November 07, 2026 at 21:00. This match is part of Peruvian Primera División — Round 16.
Los Chankas take on Alianza Lima in the Peruvian Primera División on 7 November 2026 at 21:00.
Los Chankas are currently placed 5th in the table with 59 points, while Alianza Lima occupy 1st position with 81 points.
Los Chankas come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Alianza Lima have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 6 recorded meetings, Alianza Lima have 5 wins against Los Chankas, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Alianza Lima to win with probability 47%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.59. Over 2.5: 48%. BTTS: 50%.




Los Chankas have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Los Chankas's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Los Chankas's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Alianza Lima have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Alianza Lima have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Alianza Lima's last 6 matches.