The model estimates 1.85 goals for Ajax and 1.18 for AZ Alkmaar. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Saved model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Ajax and 6 for AZ Alkmaar, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Ajax · 49%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Ajax is going head to head with AZ Alkmaar on October 31, 2026 at 23:00. This match is part of Eredivisie — Round 11.
Ajax take on AZ Alkmaar in the Eredivisie on 31 October 2026 at 23:00.
Ajax are currently placed 3rd in the table with 21 points, while AZ Alkmaar occupy 5th position with 20 points.
Ajax come into this match with 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas AZ Alkmaar have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 112 recorded meetings, Ajax have 63 wins against AZ Alkmaar, with 24 draws.
Prediction: Ajax to win with probability 49%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.03. Over 2.5: 58%. BTTS: 60%.




Ajax are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Ajax have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 6 of Ajax's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, AZ Alkmaar have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
AZ Alkmaar have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of AZ Alkmaar's last 6 matches.