The model estimates 1.82 goals for AZ Alkmaar and 1.56 for Groningen. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for AZ Alkmaar and 6 for Groningen, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: AZ Alkmaar · 43%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
AZ Alkmaar is going head to head with Groningen on November 08, 2026 at 18:45. This match is part of Eredivisie — Round 12.
AZ Alkmaar take on Groningen in the Eredivisie on 8 November 2026 at 18:45.
AZ Alkmaar are currently placed 5th in the table with 20 points, while Groningen occupy 8th position with 15 points.
AZ Alkmaar come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Groningen have 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 85 recorded meetings, AZ Alkmaar have 39 wins against Groningen, with 23 draws.
Prediction: AZ Alkmaar to win with probability 43%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.38. Over 2.5: 66%. BTTS: 67%.




In their last 6 matches, AZ Alkmaar have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
AZ Alkmaar have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of AZ Alkmaar's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Groningen have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Groningen's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Groningen's last 6 matches.