The model estimates 2.65 goals for Ajax and 1.11 for Den Haag. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Ajax and 6 for Den Haag, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Ajax · 62%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Ajax is going head to head with Den Haag on November 22, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Eredivisie — Round 13.
Ajax take on Den Haag in the Eredivisie on 22 November 2026 at 19:00.
Ajax are currently placed 3rd in the table with 21 points, while Den Haag occupy 17th position with 6 points.
Ajax come into this match with 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Den Haag have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Ajax to win with probability 62%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.77. Over 2.5: 73%. BTTS: 63%.




Ajax are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Ajax have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 6 of Ajax's last 6 matches.
Den Haag have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Den Haag's last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Den Haag's last 6 matches.