The model estimates 1.48 goals for Twente and 1.23 for Ajax. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Twente and 6 for Ajax, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Twente · 41%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Twente is going head to head with Ajax on November 08, 2026 at 16:30. This match is part of Eredivisie — Round 12.
Twente take on Ajax in the Eredivisie on 8 November 2026 at 16:30.
Twente are currently placed 2nd in the table with 23 points, while Ajax occupy 3rd position with 21 points.
Twente come into this match with 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Ajax have 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 125 recorded meetings, Ajax have 71 wins against Twente, with 27 draws.
Prediction: Twente to win with probability 41%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.70. Over 2.5: 51%. BTTS: 56%.




Twente are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Twente have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Twente have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
Ajax are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Ajax have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 6 of Ajax's last 6 matches.