The model estimates 2.27 goals for Waalwijk and 1.24 for De Graafschap. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Waalwijk and 6 for De Graafschap, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Waalwijk · 58%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Waalwijk is going head to head with De Graafschap on February 05, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Netherlands Erstedivision — Round 25.
Waalwijk take on De Graafschap in the Netherlands Erstedivision on 5 February 2027 at 00:00.
Waalwijk are currently placed 11th in the table with 16 points, while De Graafschap occupy 16th position with 12 points.
Waalwijk come into this match with 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas De Graafschap have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 38 recorded meetings, Waalwijk have 18 wins against De Graafschap, with 9 draws.
Prediction: Waalwijk to win with probability 57%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.51. Over 2.5: 68%. BTTS: 65%.




Waalwijk have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Waalwijk have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Waalwijk's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of De Graafschap's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, De Graafschap have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
De Graafschap have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.