The model estimates 2.53 goals for Waalwijk and 1.42 for Helmond. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Waalwijk and 6 for Helmond, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Waalwijk · 59%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Waalwijk is going head to head with Helmond on February 26, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Netherlands Erstedivision — Round 28.
Waalwijk take on Helmond in the Netherlands Erstedivision on 26 February 2027 at 00:00.
Waalwijk are currently placed 11th in the table with 16 points, while Helmond occupy 19th position with 9 points.
Waalwijk come into this match with 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Helmond have 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Waalwijk have yet to beat Helmond, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Waalwijk to win with probability 58%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.96. Over 2.5: 76%. BTTS: 71%.




Waalwijk have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Waalwijk have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Waalwijk's last 6 matches.
Helmond have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Helmond have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Helmond's last 6 matches.