The model estimates 2.29 goals for De Graafschap and 1.55 for Jong Ajax. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for De Graafschap and 6 for Jong Ajax, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: De Graafschap · 52%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
De Graafschap is going head to head with Jong Ajax on February 26, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Netherlands Erstedivision — Round 28.
De Graafschap take on Jong Ajax in the Netherlands Erstedivision on 26 February 2027 at 00:00.
De Graafschap are currently placed 16th in the table with 12 points, while Jong Ajax occupy 15th position with 12 points.
De Graafschap come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Jong Ajax have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 22 recorded meetings, De Graafschap have 10 wins against Jong Ajax, with 4 draws.
Prediction: De Graafschap to win with probability 52%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.83. Over 2.5: 74%. BTTS: 72%.




Both teams have scored in 5 of De Graafschap's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, De Graafschap have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
De Graafschap have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Jong Ajax have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Jong Ajax's last 6 matches.
Jong Ajax have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.