The model estimates 1.25 goals for Vitória Sernache and 2.17 for Mafra. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Vitória Sernache and 6 for Mafra, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Mafra · 51%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Vitória Sernache is going head to head with Mafra on November 28, 2026 at 18:00. This match is part of Liga 3 — Round 10.
Vitória Sernache take on Mafra in the Liga 3 on 28 November 2026 at 18:00.
Vitória Sernache are currently placed 20th in the table with 4 points, while Mafra occupy 9th position with 9 points.
Vitória Sernache come into this match with 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Mafra have 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Mafra have 1 win against Vitória Sernache.
Prediction: Mafra to win with probability 51%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.42. Over 2.5: 66%. BTTS: 64%.
VITMAFVITMAFVITMAFVITMAFVITMAFVITMAFVITMAFVITMAFVITMAFVitória Sernache have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Vitória Sernache have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
Vitória Sernache concede an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Mafra have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Mafra's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Mafra have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
