The model estimates 2.10 goals for Mafra and 1.14 for Lusitano GC. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Mafra and 6 for Lusitano GC, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Mafra · 52%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Mafra is going head to head with Lusitano GC on December 13, 2026 at 18:00. This match is part of Liga 3 — Round 12.
Mafra take on Lusitano GC in the Liga 3 on 13 December 2026 at 18:00.
Mafra are currently placed 9th in the table with 9 points, while Lusitano GC occupy 18th position with 6 points.
Mafra come into this match with 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Lusitano GC have 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 3 recorded meetings, Lusitano GC have 2 wins against Mafra, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Mafra to win with probability 52%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.24. Over 2.5: 63%. BTTS: 61%.




Mafra have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Mafra's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Mafra have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Lusitano GC have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Lusitano GC have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Lusitano GC's last 6 matches.