The model estimates 1.29 goals for Vitória Sernache and 1.48 for Caldas. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Vitória Sernache and 6 for Caldas, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Caldas · 45%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Vitória Sernache is going head to head with Caldas on January 03, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Liga 3 — Round 14.
Vitória Sernache take on Caldas in the Liga 3 on 3 January 2027 at 00:00.
Vitória Sernache are currently placed 20th in the table with 4 points, while Caldas occupy 15th position with 8 points.
Vitória Sernache come into this match with 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Caldas have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 2 recorded meetings, Caldas have 2 wins against Vitória Sernache.
Prediction: Caldas to win with probability 39%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 2.78. Over 2.5: 53%. BTTS: 58%.




Vitória Sernache have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Vitória Sernache have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
Vitória Sernache concede an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Caldas have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Caldas have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Caldas have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.