The model estimates 1.19 goals for Vitória Sernache and 1.42 for Santarem. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Vitória Sernache and 6 for Santarem, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Santarem · 39%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Vitória Sernache is going head to head with Santarem on January 17, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Liga 3 — Round 16.
Vitória Sernache take on Santarem in the Liga 3 on 17 January 2027 at 00:00.
Vitória Sernache are currently placed 20th in the table with 4 points, while Santarem occupy 8th position with 10 points.
Vitória Sernache come into this match with 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Santarem have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 4 recorded meetings, Santarem have 4 wins against Vitória Sernache.
Prediction: Santarem to win with probability 39%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.61. Over 2.5: 48%. BTTS: 54%.




Vitória Sernache have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Vitória Sernache have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
Vitória Sernache concede an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Santarem have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Santarem's last 6 matches.
Santarem concede an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.