The model estimates 1.06 goals for Caldas and 1.08 for Covilha. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Caldas and 6 for Covilha, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Draw · 34%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Caldas is going head to head with Covilha on January 24, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Liga 3 — Round 17.
Caldas take on Covilha in the Liga 3 on 24 January 2027 at 00:00.
Caldas are currently placed 15th in the table with 8 points, while Covilha occupy 17th position with 7 points.
Caldas come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Covilha have 0 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Caldas and Covilha to draw with probability 32%. Most likely scoreline: 1-1. Avg goals: 2.14. Over 2.5: 36%. BTTS: 45%.




In their last 6 matches, Caldas have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Caldas have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Caldas have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
Covilha have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Covilha have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Covilha's last 6 matches.